Paul Russell and Janna Nephew are two Fairleigh Dickinson students who will be voting in this year’s election. Though they have a plethora of reasons for why they are voting, and who they are voting for, a common theme is dissatisfaction with the past eight years of leadership.
“I am amazed that we allowed Bush to stay in office for so long,” said Nephew, a hospitality major. She also said that she is more intrigued by this election because she can actually vote in it. “I am going to vote mainly because I feel like I am supposed to. I have the right to vote,” she said.
Russell, a creative writing major, said he will vote this year because he “might as well have some kind of say in how this country is run.” He said that he is interested in this year’s election “because it will, hopefully, bring about a better four years than these past eight years have been.”
Nephew and Russell are just two members of a demographic that is supposed to tip the scales in the upcoming presidential election: the youth demographic. Consisting of 18- to 29-year-olds, this particular demographic has been eluding the public for years when it comes to elections.
It seems that, during every election, predictions arise that place the youth demographic at voting booths in record numbers, and each election, this particular demographic fails to show. So what makes the race between Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama so different? Well, some are banking on the actual increase in numbers.
A 2005 Fact Sheet compiled by researchers from the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement, CIRCLE, displays the largest surge in youth voter turnout in a presidential election since 1992. The surge is witnessed in the 2004 presidential election, which drew 47 percent of voters in the 18-to-24 demographic, an 11 percent increase from the 2000 election. It also showed that, nationwide, the voter turnout in the 18-to-29 age range increased from 40 percent in 2000 to 49 percent in 2004.
CIRCLE has found that, “In states where data is available for both the 2008 and 2000 primaries, the national youth turnout rate rose from nine percent in the 2000 primaries to 17 percent in the 2008 primaries.”
At the time the fact sheet was published, researchers were unsure of whether or not the increase in youth voter turnout between 2000 and 2004 was a part of a new trend or if it was a blip. The increase in youth voter turnout in the 2004 presidential election, coupled with the increase of youth voter turnout in the 2008 primary election, is leading many to predict that this year is the year of the youth vote.
Daniel Cassino, a political science professor at FDU, said that this is a critical year because it is “the year that tells us if we are seeing a blip, or if we are seeing the beginning of a sustained realignment.”
Cassino said that a realignment is a switch in the dominant party, a switch that is totally plausible because the youth demographic is leaning more toward the Democratic Party than ever.
Krista Jenkins, also a political science professor at FDU, said that the youth demographic is more Democratic because they are influenced by the times and an unpopular president.
Cassino called them “Bush Democrats,” people who generally have had no prior party ties and who do not like Bush, so they decide that they are Democrats. He also said that they will most likely stay Democrats, since party attachments generally form around the ages of 18 to 24, which is why the events that take place during that time period are so critical.
In a recent survey of 202 FDU students, 38 percent identified themselves as Democrats, 22 percent as Independents and 20 percent as Republicans. The remainder didn’t answer the question or responded that they either belong to another party or none at all.
When it comes to the youth demographic, Jenkins said, “Politics just don’t connect.” It seems that, generally, the politicians do not try to connect either. Because they have no habitual voting pattern, or long standing ties to either party, youth seem to be getting short shrift from politicians in their campaigns.
Both Jenkins and Cassino think that the Internet has played a big role in increasing youth voter turnout in recent elections. Jenkins believes that some politicians have learned to better utilize the Internet to reach a broader spectrum of people. And Cassino said that the Internet reduces political barriers by making the exchange of information much easier.
The numbers in 2004 and 2008 are significant, however, the media hype that surrounds them fails to recognize that the increase did not just come out of nowhere. Jenkins said that there has been a gradual increase in youth voter turnout since 1996.
While the 2004 presidential election and the 2008 primaries do show a surge in the percentage of youth voter turnout, it has to be remembered that the numbers still show fewer than 50 percent coming out to cast their ballots. That is the lowest of all the age groups. Also, the percentage of youth voter turnout is still five percent lower than it was in 1972.
“It is still the case that young people don’t pay attention, and don’t vote,” Jenkins said of the low youth voter turnout. “You would think that, with more college education, you would see more voting.”
At FDU, several groups recently have promoted the importance of the youth vote. In September, SGA and ABC co-sponsored a rally in the cafeteria to help inform students about the election issues and to make sure they were registered. The event featured representatives from the McCain and Obama campaigns to help answer questions that students might have about the candidates and their positions on several issues. The Office of Residence Life also promoted a voter registration drive.
For their part, students at the College at Florham seem to have mixed feelings about politics, and some are choosing not to vote in the presidential election.
Allison Biederman, a 21-year-old senior, has admitted that she’s not voting. “For one, I never really pay attention to politics,” she said. “Two, I don’t know who I would vote for, considering I haven’t been paying attention at all.”
Other students, like senior Amanda Marconi, think that voting is important because the outcome will affect students when they enter the “real world.”
“It’s important because everything that happens now will affect us, especially after graduation,” she said. “All of the policies and things will have an influence on our employment opportunities.”
SARA BROWN AND MAGGY PATRICK
Staff Writers


